The median U.S. home-sale price rose 5.1 percent during the four weeks ending Jan. 21, the biggest increase since October 2022, according to a new report from Redfin.
Asking prices rose 6.5 percent, which is also the biggest increase since October 2022.
Redfin said prices are rising for a few reasons.
One, inventory is still quite low. The total number of homes for sale is down 4 percent year-over-year. And while new listings are up 2 percent, that’s the smallest annual increase in two months. Additionally, sellers can command higher prices because buyers have more purchasing power; mortgage rates are holding steady in the mid-to-high 6 percent range, down from 8 percent in October.
This sales data shows sluggish activity as severe winter weather kept buyers and sellers on the sidelines in much of the country. Pending home sales are down 8 percent year-over-year, the biggest decline in four months. The big annual drop in pending sales can also be explained in part by a base effect from last January, Redfin said: pending sales were improving at this time last year as mortgage rates fell.
While Redfin agents in places that are facing harsh weather report that would-be buyers are staying home (for now), mortgage-purchase applications are rising, and agents in warmer places say demand is picking up.
“Real estate is usually slow in the Midwest in the winter, but this year it’s even slower than usual because the weather has been so extreme,” said Grand Rapids, Mich., Redfin Premier agent Christine Kooiker in a release. “Casual house hunters are staying home to avoid the roads—but inventory is low enough that serious buyers are finding a way to see desirable homes. I also believe we’ll get busier as we approach spring. People are used to higher mortgage rates, and they know prices are likely to go up more if they wait.”
“At the end of 2023, a lot of my clients said, ‘I’ll call you in January.’ And they did. This month has been nonstop,” said Shay Stein, a Redfin Premier agent in Las Vegas. “I wouldn’t say buyers are happy about 6.5 percent rates, but they’ll accept it because they’ll feel vindicated if rates rise back to 8 percent, and they can always refinance and avoid future bidding wars if rates drop further. And sellers are coming out of the woodwork, noticing the interest from buyers.”