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Redfin: No major metros have falling home prices for first time in 2 years

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Market Data
Monday, May 6, 2024

The median home-sale price rose from a year earlier or stayed the same in all 50 of the most populous metros during the four weeks ending April 28, the first time that has happened since July 2022, according to a new report from Redfin.

Nationwide, the median sale price rose to a near-record $383,188, up 4.8 percent year-over-year.

Mortgage rates also continued climbing, with the weekly average hitting its highest level in five months. High prices and rates drove the median monthly housing payment to a record $2,890, up 15 percent year-over-year.

Home-price increases were driven by affluent metros and a pair of more affordable places: Anaheim, Calif., where prices rose over 20 percent year over year, took the top spot. It’s followed by Detroit (14.9 percent), San Jose, Calif. (13.6 percent), West Palm Beach, Fla. (13.4 percent) and New Brunswick, N.J. (12.8 percent).

The metros with the smallest price increases were in Texas and Florida: Dallas (unchanged), Austin, Texas (0.3 percent), San Antonio (0.6 percent), Fort Worth, Fla. (1.9 percent), and Tampa, Fla. (2.2 percent).

Low inventory is also driving up prices, Redfin added. 

New listings were up 15 percent year-over-year, but they’re still well below typical April levels, with fewer new listings this April than any year on record except 2023 and 2020. The year-over-year increase was also inflated because of the Easter effect; Easter didn’t fall into the four weeks included in this year’s data, but the holiday did fall into last year’s comparable period. Some homeowners are hesitant to list their homes because economic indicators point to interest rates staying higher for longer than expected, potentially exacerbating the mortgage-rate lock-in effect.

Homebuying demand is softening as rates rise. Some Redfin agents are reporting the recent uptick in mortgage rates is scaring buyers away, and mortgage-purchase applications declined 2 percent week-over-week. Still, there are enough buyers out there to keep prices propped up: Redfin's Homebuyer Demand Index is up 3 percent from a month ago, sitting near its highest level since August.

Recent economic news kept mortgage rates in a holding pattern. At its May 1 meeting, the Fed held interest rates steady, as expected, but kept open the possibility of rate cuts later this year.

“The Fed meeting is unlikely to push mortgage rates down — but the good news is that it won’t push them up, either, which could have happened if the Fed took 2024 rate cuts off the table,” Redfin Economic Research Lead Chen Zhao said in a release. “Even though housing costs shouldn’t climb much more, they will remain elevated for the foreseeable future, which could push more buyers away. But for serious house hunters who can afford today’s mortgage rates and find a home they love, jumping on it now isn’t a bad idea, given the fact that inventory is low and costs aren’t dropping anytime soon.”

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