America’s housing shortage grew to an all-time high of 4.7 million units, according to a new Zillow analysis of Census data. This deepening housing deficit remains the prime driver of the nation’s housing affordability crisis.
Construction boomed in response to high demand and price growth during the early years of the pandemic, but that hasn’t been enough to keep up with the growing population, let alone undo nearly two decades of underbuilding that started during the Great Recession, according to Zillow’s research.
“The unfortunate fact is that we still don’t have enough housing in this country for people who need it,” Zillow Senior Economist Orphe Divounguy said in a release. “Construction has helped prevent the housing deficit from ballooning, but it hasn’t yet begun to close the gap. We know what works: lower building restraints to allow for more density and less expensive housing. More of these measures at the local level can help get more homes built and begin to ease this outsize financial burden for millions of Americans.”
In 2023, 3.4 million homes sat vacant and available for rent or for sale, according to Census data. Meanwhile, 8.1 million families shared their homes with people who weren’t related to them. While some people chose to live with roommates, most of these families would probably prefer their own place if one were available that they could afford, according to Zillow.
While mortgage costs are slightly lower than last year nationwide, buying a home is still a stretch, especially for first-time buyers. A family earning the median household income could afford to buy a typical home in 2019 — now they would need a $17,000 raise.
A home-building surge over the past five years has helped slow the growth of the housing deficit, but isn't reversing it, according to Zillow. The housing deficit grew by 159,000 homes in 2023 — still an increase, but smaller than the jump of 257,000 in 2022.
The total number of homes in America grew by 1.4 million homes in 2023, up from 1.3 million added the year before. This includes new construction and subtracts units that were destroyed. While the total number of families also increased, fewer new families had to share a home compared to 2022.
Builders completed 1.45 million units in 2023, and 1.63 million units in 2024; both are records since 2007. Builders responded faster to the pandemic-era spike in demand in areas with fewer building restrictions, Zillow research found. This has helped price and rent growth ease in those metros and balanced those markets faster than in places with more stringent regulations.
Millennials share housing with non-relatives more than any other generation, making up 38 percent of the families “doubling up” in 2023, followed by Gen Z at 29 percent, Gen X at 17 percent, and baby boomers and older generations at 16 percent.
Among the 50 largest major metros, New York, Los Angeles, Boston, San Francisco and Washington, D.C., have the largest housing deficits.