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Redfin: 1 in 5 millennials believe they’ll never own a home

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Friday, September 8, 2023

Nearly one of every five (18 percent) millennials and 12 percent of Gen Zers who replied to a recent housing survey believe they will never own a home, according to a new report from Redfin.

Lack of affordability is the  No. 1 reported barrier to homeownership for young Americans. Roughly half of Gen Z and millennial renters who believe they’re unlikely to purchase a home soon say the high price of homes on the market is blocking them from buying.

That’s the most cited barrier, and it’s followed by several other affordability-related reasons.

Nearly half (46 percent) of millennials and one-third (33 percent) of Gen Zers say their lack of ability to save for a down payment is a barrier, and more than one-third of both Gen Zers and millennials say mortgage rates are too high. Roughly one-third also say they’re unable to afford monthly mortgage payments. About one in five (21 percent) Gen Zers and 16 percent of millennials say they need to pay off their student loan debt before they’re able to buy a home.

A Redfin-commissioned survey conducted by Qualtrics in May and June 2023 was fielded to 5,079 U.S. residents who either moved in the last year, plan to move in the next year, or rent their home. This report focuses on the 1,340 Gen Z (aged 18 to 26) and 1,973 millennial (aged 27 to 42) respondents.

“The worsening housing affordability crisis has an outsized impact on Gen Zers and millennials because they’re much less likely to own a home than older generations,” Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather said in a release. “That means many young Americans don’t benefit from rising home prices by gaining equity. Instead, these would-be first-time homebuyers bear the burden of high prices, high down payments and high monthly mortgage payments, without profits from a previous home to offset the cost. Many young people don’t have a choice between renting and buying. They’re renting their home because even though rent payments have increased, too, it’s still more affordable than buying in much of the country – and renters don’t need a down payment.”

Redfin data shows it has become much harder to afford a home since the pandemic began, especially for first-time homebuyers. Median home-sale prices are at record highs, up 40 percent since 2019. Wages have risen, too, but not as much. Average hourly earnings rose roughly 20 percent over the same period. Record-low mortgage rates and the increasing prevalence of remote work during 2020 and 2021 fueled intense homebuying demand, which drove prices up. Now, rising mortgage rates have exacerbated the expense of owning a home. Mortgage rates have more than doubled from their low, hitting their highest level in more than 20 years in August, while home prices remain high.

Roughly one-quarter (26 percent) of Gen Z adults and half (52 percent) of millennials own their home, compared with 71 percent of Gen Xers and 79 percent of baby boomers.

Roughly 40 percent of Gen Zers and millennials are working second jobs to save for their down payment, and about one-quarter plan to use a cash gift from family.

Of the young Americans who are planning to buy a home in the next year, many are turning to side hustles for their down payment. About two of every five Gen Zers (41 percent) and millennials (36 percent) say they’ll work a second job to help fund their down payment, the most commonly cited method aside from saving directly from paychecks, according to Redfin. 

Roughly one-quarter of Gen Z (28 percent) and millennial (23 percent) homebuyers expect to receive a cash gift from family for their down payment, while 20 percent of Gen Zers and 15 percent of millennials plan to use an inheritance.

Young Americans also cite investments as a way they’ll fund down payments. Just over 20 percent of both Gen Zers and millennials plan to sell stock, and roughly 15 percent of both generations plan to sell cryptocurrency.

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