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November data confirms oncoming foreclosure wave

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Market Data
Thursday, December 15, 2011
A spokesperson from RealtyTrac discusses the 2011 foreclosure data with us recently, and the latest numbers from November further illustrate his point. Even though there was a 3 percent month-over-month decrease in filings and a 14 percent year over year drop, RealtyTrac believes this all equates to a renewed foreclosure wave in 2012. 

“Despite a seasonal slowdown similar to what we’ve seen in each of the past four years, November’s numbers suggest a new set of incoming foreclosure waves, many of which may roll into the market as REOs or short sales sometime early next year,” said James Saccacio, co-founder of RealtyTrac. “Overall foreclosure activity is down 14 percent from a year ago, the smallest annual decrease over the past 12 months, and some bellwether states such as California, Arizona and Massachusetts actually posted year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity in November.

“Scheduled foreclosure auctions reached a nine-month high in November, corresponding to a recent surge in default notices that began back in August,” Saccacio continued. “Many of the new defaults that started the foreclosure process over the past few months are now being scheduled for public foreclosure auction.”

The report also shows one in every 579 U.S. housing units with a foreclosure filing during the month.

Nevada posted the nation’s highest foreclosure rate for the 59th  straight month in November despite artificially low foreclosure activity caused by a new state law passed in October that alters the foreclosure process in the state. A total of 6,512 Nevada properties received a foreclosure filing in November, up 3 percent from a 45-month low in October, but still down 43 percent from November 2010. One in every 175 Nevada housing units had a foreclosure filing in November, more than three times the national average.

Scheduled trustee’s sales in California hit a 10-month high in November, helping the state maintain the nation’s second highest foreclosure rate: one in every 211 properties with a foreclosure filing during the month. A total of 26,509 trustee’s sales were scheduled in California in November, up 14 percent from November 2010 — the first year-over-year increase in scheduled foreclosure auctions in California since March 2010.

Arizona foreclosure activity increased on a year-over-year basis in November for the first time since October 2010, and the state posted the nation’s third highest foreclosure rate for the fifth month in a row. One in every 256 Arizona properties had a foreclosure filing in November, more than twice the national average.

Substantial monthly increases in foreclosure activity in Utah and Georgia lifted those states’ foreclosure rates into the nation’s top five in November. Utah’s foreclosure rate of one in every 290 housing units with a foreclosure filing ranked No. 4 thanks to a 74 percent monthly increase in foreclosure activity, and Georgia’s foreclosure rate of one in every 330 housing units with a foreclosure filing ranked No. 5 thanks to a 23 percent monthly increase in foreclosure activity.

Florida foreclosure activity in November decreased 25 percent from a 13-month high in October, but the state still had 24,739 properties with foreclosure filings during the month — the nation’s second highest total.

There was a total of 13,777 Michigan properties with foreclosure filings in November, the nation’s third highest state total despite a 14 percent decrease from October.

Illinois documented the fourth highest state foreclosure activity total in November, 12,398 properties with foreclosure filings, and Georgia documented the fifth highest state foreclosure activity total, 12,327 properties with foreclosure filings during the month.

 

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