America’s homes are now worth a record $55.1 trillion, a $20 trillion jump since the eve of the pandemic, according to a recent Zillow analysis. But growth has slowed in the past year as high costs cooled buyer demand, with housing gaining $862 billion.
This year’s shifts show how the geography of home value gains is rotating away from pandemic boomtowns, as well as the role new construction is playing in shaping long-term housing wealth, according to Zillow.
“Even as buyers struggled with rising costs, U.S. housing wealth kept climbing,” Zillow Senior Economist Orphe Divounguy said in a release. “New construction opened the door for many first-time homeowners, creating trillions in wealth that didn’t exist five years ago. Home value gains are a windfall for longtime homeowners, but they also highlight how housing deficits that sent prices soaring left behind many aspiring first-time buyers. The bottom line is that we need more homes to solve our chronic affordability crisis.”
Pandemic boomtowns in the South and Mountain West are cooling, passing the baton to states in the Northeast and Midwest, according to Zillow. One likely factor is that the Sun Belt’s affordability edge has eroded through home value gains and rising insurance costs.
Since early 2020, the largest total value gains have been in California ($3.4 trillion), Florida ($1.6 trillion), New York ($1.5 trillion) and Texas ($1.2 trillion), but three of those four lost ground in the past year. Florida’s housing market fell by $109 billion, and California's by $106 billion.
New York, on the other hand, was part of the Northeast revival, gaining $216 billion during the past year. That is the biggest increase of any state, and it accounts for one-quarter of the national growth. Neighbor New Jersey was not far behind, gaining $101 billion, followed by Illinois ($89 billion) and Pennsylvania ($73 billion).
New construction has added $2.5 trillion in housing value since early 2020 — about 12.5 percent of the nation’s total gain. This has created space for new households to form and it represents more new wealth-building potential.
Utah (23 percent), Texas (22 percent), Idaho (22 percent) and Florida (20 percent) saw the biggest share of housing market gains come from new construction during this period. These are states that experienced booming demand during the pandemic from households seeking more space and relative affordability, according to Zillow.
Building more homes is the key to unlocking affordability, according to Zillow. Sun Belt states like Texas and Florida have been the most prolific home-building states during the past few years, and have recently seen affordability gains and buyer-friendly markets as a result. These additional homes helped the market rebalance more quickly and made it a bit easier for buyers to find a foothold.
There are nine metro areas with housing markets worth more than $1 trillion, and collectively, they hold nearly one-third of the nation’s housing wealth (31.9 percent). They are New York ($4.6 trillion), Los Angeles ($3.9 trillion), San Francisco ($1.9 trillion), Boston ($1.3 trillion), Washington, D.C. ($1.3 trillion), Miami ($1.2 trillion), Chicago ($1.2 trillion), Seattle ($1.1 trillion) and San Diego ($1 trillion).
However, the past year's results show their dominance may be slipping. Excluding New York, which gained the most value of any metro area ($260 billion), the other nine $1 trillion markets combined lost $18 billion. This suggests more of the recent gains in housing market wealth are coming from smaller markets as remote work and affordability hurdles continue to reshape where Americans live.