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Redfin: Typical down payment falls 10 percent year-over-year

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Market Data
Thursday, March 23, 2023

The typical homebuyer’s down payment fell 10 percent year-over-year in January to $42,375, its lowest level in nearly two years, according to a new report from Redfin.

The median down payment fell 35 percent from the peak it reached in June but is still up more than 30 percent from pre-pandemic levels.

The median down payment in January was equal to 10 percent of the purchase price, down from 13.6 percent a year earlier and the pandemic-era peak of 17.5 percent in May. The last time down-payment percentages were this low was early 2021, before the pandemic homebuying boom drove buyers to put more money down to make their offers more attractive, according to Redfin.

Redfin attests that down payments are falling for several reasons:

•              The housing market is slow and there’s not much competition. Most offers for homes written by Redfin agents don’t face bidding wars. That’s a stark difference from the hyper-competitive housing market of 2021 and early 2022. Buyers no longer need to offer a big down payment to prove their financial stability and stand out from the crowd. Now that buyers often have the upper hand, they can offer an amount that works best for their individual circumstances. Diminished competition is also allowing more buyers to use FHA and VA loans, which typically allow for much smaller down payments.

•              High housing costs and inflation. Six percent-plus mortgage rates, still-high home prices and inflation are hitting homebuyers’ pocketbooks hard. Buyers don’t have as much money to allocate to a down payment because monthly housing payments are higher than before; they may also be putting more cash toward a mortgage-rate buydown instead of their down payment. Additionally, buyers may be inclined to hold onto as much cash as possible in these uncertain economic times.

•              Lower home prices = lower dollar down payments. Home prices remain stubbornly high, but they have fallen more than 10 percent from their May 2022 peak and 1.5 percent from a year ago. A 10 percent down payment on a $400,000 home equals $40,000; if that same home was worth $450,000 in May, the buyer would have needed $45,000 for a 10 percent down payment.

“One silver lining of high mortgage rates and economic turmoil is that they’ve slowed competition,” Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari said. “That means buyers are often able to purchase a home without facing a bidding war and don’t need to fork over a huge portion of their savings for a down payment to grab sellers’ attention. Today’s buyers are also able to save money in other ways: Nearly half of sellers are offering concessions, like helping pay for a mortgage-rate buydown or covering closing costs, to attract buyers.”

Nearly one-third (32.1 percent) of home purchases were paid for with all cash in January, up from 29.7 percent a year earlier and the highest share in nine years. Buyers—especially affluent ones—are increasingly paying in cash to avoid taking on a high mortgage rate. Cash purchases were also common during the homebuying frenzy of 2021 and early 2022, but for a different reason: Buyers back then were offering cash to beat out the competition, Redfin data shows.

Sixteen percent of mortgaged home sales used an FHA loan in January, up from 13.3 percent a year earlier and the highest share since April 2020. The share of mortgaged sales using VA loans rose to their highest level in more than two years, climbing to 7.5 percent from 6.1 percent a year earlier.

Conventional loans are still by far the most common type. More than three-quarters (76.3 percent) of borrowers used a conventional loan, but that’s the lowest share since June 2020, according to Redfin.

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