The list of housing markets showing measurable improvement expanded by 29 metros in February to include a total of 98 entries. Thirty-six states are now represented by at least one market on the Improving Markets Index (IMI) from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and First American.
The index identifies metropolitan areas that have shown improvement from their respective troughs in housing permits, employment and house prices for at least six consecutive months. The February index adds some metropolitan areas that have been particularly weak; this is due to the fact that the IMI measures improvement from the bottom, and some of the hardest hit markets are showing signs of coming off extreme lows.
The notable new entrants to list in February include Miami; Boston; Detroit; Kansas City, Mo.; Portland, Ore.; Memphis, Tenn.; and Salt Lake City.
“The number of improving housing markets has risen for six consecutive months, and 36 states now have at least one metropolitan area on the list,” noted Bob Nielsen, NAHB chairman and a homebuilder from Reno, Nev. "This indicates that despite the many challenges that continue to drag on a housing recovery – including the tight lending environment for builders and buyers — improving conditions are slowly but surely spreading from one housing market to the next."
Seven markets dropped from the NAHB/First American Improving Markets Index in February as they experienced softening house prices. These metros include San Jose, Calif.; Washington, D.C.; Kankakee, Ill.; New Orleans; Worcester, Mass.; Jackson, Miss.; and Sherman, Texas.
"While many of the markets on the February IMI are far from fully recovered, the index points out where employment, home prices and housing production are no longer retreating and have held above their lowest recession troughs for six months or more," said David Crowe, NAHB chief economist. "This is a sign that a large cross section of the country is starting to turn the corner as local economic conditions stabilize."
Here are all of the newest entrants on the list:
- Napa, Calif.
- Deltona, Fla.
- Miami, Fla.
- North Port, Fla.
- Tampa, Fla.
- Augusta, Ga.
- Shreveport, La.
- Springfield, Mass.
- Cumberland, Md.
- Lewiston, Maine
- Boston, Mass.
- Detroit, Mich.
- Duluth, Minn.
- Rochester, Minn.
- Jefferson City, Mo.
- Kansas City, Mo.
- Hattiesburg, Miss.
- Omaha, Neb.
- Ocean City, N.J.
- Syracuse, N.Y.
- Springfield, Ohio
- Youngstown, Ohio
- Portland, Ore.
- Longview, Texas
- Memphis, Tenn.
- Provo, Utah
- Salt Lake City, Utah
- Bellingham, Wash.
- Kennewick, Wash.
The IMI is designed to track housing markets throughout the country that are showing signs of improving economic health. The index measures three sets of independent monthly data to get a mark on the top improving Metropolitan Statistical Areas. The three indicators that are analyzed are employment growth from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, house price appreciation from Freddie Mac, and single-family housing permit growth from the U.S. Census Bureau. NAHB uses the latest available data from these sources to generate a list of improving markets. A metropolitan area must see improvement in all three areas for at least six months following their respective troughs before being included on the improving markets list.