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Purchase activity continues uptrend while refinances keep declining

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Market Data
Thursday, March 15, 2012

Mortgage applications decreased 2.4 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending March 9.

The Refinance Index decreased 4.1 percent from the previous week to its lowest level since Jan. 6.  This is the fourth consecutive weekly decline in the Refinance Index.  The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index increased 4.4 percent from one week earlier to its highest level since Jan. 13. The four-week moving average for the seasonally adjusted Market Index is down 2.12 percent.  The four-week moving average is up 2.92 percent for the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index, while this average is down 3.29 percent for the Refinance Index.

“Applications for home purchase increased again last week, coinciding with another strong job market report. Purchase applications are now almost 12 percent above the level one month ago, even after adjusting for typical seasonal patterns.  However, this level of purchase activity, adjusted or unadjusted, was essentially unchanged when compared to the same time last year. Purchase activity remains subdued and within the narrow range we have seen since the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit in 2010,” said Michael Fratantoni, MBA’s vice president of research and economics. 

“Refinance application volume fell last week,” he continued. “Although rates were unchanged on average, they trended up through the course of the week, and this likely discouraged many potential refinance applicants.  HARP volume continued to grow as a share of total refinance volume, reaching roughly 30 percent of refinance activity in the last two weeks. Typical HARP loans had loan-to-value ratios above 90 percent, indicating that lenders are reaching out to underwater borrowers.”

The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 75.1 percent of total applications from 77 percent the previous week. This is the fourth consecutive weekly decline in refinance share, which is at its lowest level since Nov. 25, 2011. The adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity increased to 5.8 percent from 5.4 percent of total applications from the previous week.

In February 2012, United States purchase application volume increased by 18 percent from January 2012 and decreased 2.0 percent from the same time last year. Only three states saw a monthly decrease in purchase activity from January to February. Montana had the largest monthly purchase volume decrease of 7.1 percent, followed by the District of Columbia (down 3.1 percent from last month) and New Mexico (down 1.6 percent from last month).

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($417,500 or less) remained unchanged at 4.06 percent, with points decreasing to 0.43 from  0.50 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans.  The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with jumbo loan balances (greater than $417,500) increased to 4.39 percent from 4.33 percent, with points decreasing to 0.39 from 0.40 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate increased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages backed by the FHA decreased to 3.82 percent from 3.87 percent, with points decreasing to 0.55 from 0.70 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. This is the lowest 30-year FHA rate of the year. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages remained unchanged at 3.36 percent, with points decreasing to 0.34 from 0.38 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans. The effective rate decreased from last week.

The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs increased to 2.81 percent from 2.78 percent, with points increasing to 0.37 from 0.35 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent LTV loans.  The effective rate increased from last week.

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