The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Builder Application Survey (BAS) data for November 2014 shows mortgage applications for new home purchases decreased by 22 percent relative to the previous month. This change does not include any adjustment for typical seasonal patterns.
“Following strong new home sales in October, our data shows November sales volume dropped significantly,” MBA Chief Economist Mike Fratantoni said. “Average loan size increased to almost $307,000 in November from roughly $300,000 in October, indicating that builders are having greater success with higher priced homes and difficulty at the entry level, as first-time buyers continued to face tight credit conditions.”
By product type, conventional loans composed 69.3 percent of loan applications, FHA loans composed 15.8 percent, RHS/USDA loans composed 0.9 percent and VA loans composed 14 percent. The average loan size of new homes increased from $300,289 in October to $306,975 in November.
The MBA estimates new single-family home sales were running at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 401,000 units in November 2014, based on data from the BAS. The new home sales estimate is derived using mortgage application information from the BAS, as well as assumptions regarding market coverage and other factors.
The seasonally adjusted estimate for November is a decrease of 13 percent from the October pace of 461,000 units. On an unadjusted basis, the MBA estimates that there were 28,000 new home sales in November 2014, a decrease of 22.2 percent from 36,000 new home sales in October.
MBA’s Builder Application Survey tracks application volume from mortgage subsidiaries of home builders across the country. Utilizing this data, as well as data from other sources, MBA is able to provide an early estimate of new home sales volumes at the national, state and metro level. This data also provides information regarding the types of loans used by new home buyers. Official new home sales estimates are conducted by the Census Bureau on a monthly basis. In that data, new home sales are recorded at contract signing, which typically is coincident with the mortgage application.